Cebu Realtor Can’t Sell Beachfront Listings

Cebu Realtor Says Beachfront Listings Won’t Move

American retirees now bring notarized affidavits to open houses

Deb Kowalczyk sold houses in suburban Columbus for twenty-two years before moving to the Philippines and opening a small brokerage for American retirees. She says the open house sign-in sheet has never needed a “reason for relocating” column until this week.

“I’ve got a beautiful beach property, and you can’t sell it now because of the stigma,” Kowalczyk said, standing under a ceiling fan in a Mactan tower lobby. “Folks used to ask about the HOA fees. Now they ask whether the guy next door has a clean record and whether I’d put that in writing.”

Cebu Condo Scandal Sales Slump
Cebu Condo Scandal Sales Slump

The jitters follow reports that Philippine authorities are investigating Thomas Markle Sr., the estranged father of the Duchess of Sussex, over allegations that he possessed child sexual abuse material at a former home in Cebu. The Justice Department says its anti-trafficking task force is looking into the matter, and the Guardian reported more on Sunday. No charges have been filed. The allegations are unproven.

Nobody in the Cebu real estate community is defending anyone accused of harming children. What they are arguing about is how a single headline came to apply to every American man over 50 with a Costco card.

Cebu Realtor Can’t Sell Beachfront Listings

  1. You want to crash a retirement market? Tell every man over 50 that moving there makes him a suspect. That’s not a sales strategy. That’s what happens when a group chat gets hold of a real estate license.
  2. Realtors used to ask your budget. Now they ask if you’ve got a pastor. Back home they just ask if you’ve seen the comps.
  3. Man retires to Florida, he’s a snowbird. Arizona, he’s a golfer. Cebu, and somebody wants to look at his laptop. It’s a Dell from 2014. The only thing on it is a folder called Taxes.
  4. Open house used to have cookies. Now it has a sign-in sheet, a notary and a guy asking about your childhood. Who’s got time for a cookie when you’re being cross-examined by a ceiling fan?
  5. New listing: two bed, ocean view, no connection to anybody you saw on the news. It’s the only ad where the amenities list is just a disclaimer.

American Retirees in the Philippines Brace for Suspicion

Cebu Condo Sales Slowdown
Cebu Condo Sales Slowdown

The pitch to American retirees has always been straightforward. Sell the four-bedroom in Ohio, buy a condo near the water, hire help, eat well and let Social Security cover things that would take a lake house to cover back home.

Realtors say it still works on paper. In person it gets awkward.

“Every showing is now a deposition,” Kowalczyk said. “A man walks in, I say ‘welcome,’ and he starts reading me his résumé. Last Thursday a guy from Dayton told me about his pickleball league for ten minutes. I only asked if he wanted the washer and dryer.”

Her average viewing used to take about 40 minutes. Now it runs a little over two hours, nearly all of it unrequested alibis.

A Retiree Hands Over His Church Bulletin

One prospective buyer, a 69-year-old retired high school band director, arrived with a binder. It contained letters from two former principals, a 1998 teaching award and a laminated copy of his marching band’s state ranking.

“He said he wanted to be transparent,” Kowalczyk said. “I said, sir, you’re the only man who has ever brought a trombone case to a closing and I’m not worried.”

The Math on How One Case Becomes Everyone

Psychologists have a tidy explanation. In their 1973 study on the availability heuristic, Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman found that people judge how often something happens by how easily they can picture an example. One vivid story can swamp a mountain of ordinary facts.

That is how a single investigation turns into a vibe about an entire retirement destination. It is also how people decide sharks are everywhere after one summer movie.

Philippine Property Data Doesn’t Show the Crash

Empty Showroom, Blame on the Board
Empty Showroom, Blame on the Board

The market numbers haven’t gotten the memo. In July, Colliers called the Visayas and Mindanao a key property investment hotspot, with Cebu still the region’s top hub. Developers keep breaking ground.

Kowalczyk shrugs at that.

“The spreadsheet is fine,” she said. “The mood is toast. I can’t deposit a mood, but a buyer sure can walk out on one.”

A local appraiser, Rodel Villarin, has begun adding a line item to his valuations that he calls the stigma adjustment. By his math a $200,000 condo remains a $200,000 condo, except on days when its owner reads the news, when it is worth $38 and a coconut.

Foreigners Can’t Even Own the Dirt Under the Condo

American buyers were already learning that Philippine ownership rules don’t resemble the ones back home. Under Republic Act 4726, foreigners can own condo units but not the land under them, and their combined share of a project is capped at 40 percent.

“I’m a retired HVAC guy from Tucson,” said Dale Ferrante, 66. “I’d love a simple closing. Instead I’ve got a lawyer, a title check, a foreign-ownership cap and now apparently a character witness. Back home I closed on a house in a lunch hour.”

He says he’s staying anyway. “It’s 90 degrees, the fish is fresh and nobody has once asked me to join an HOA committee.”

Local Residents Wonder Why Their Island Is Taking the Blame

Cebu Condo Sales Panic
Cebu Condo Sales Panic

Filipinos who live in Cebu are mostly puzzled. The city has nearly a million people, a busy economy and a housing market driven largely by locals and overseas workers sending money home.

“One foreigner is in the news and everyone in the world decides this island has a problem?” said Aurora Cañete, who sells grilled corn outside the tower. “Most of us are just trying to pay rent.”

She says the retirees have their own faults. “They ask if the corn is organic. It’s corn.”

Then she got serious. “Go after anyone who hurts kids. Protect the kids. But don’t punish the beach. The beach didn’t do anything.”

A Sunday Buyer Asks the Only Question That Matters

Late Sunday a 63-year-old retired trucker from Amarillo called Kowalczyk about the unit. He’d seen the news on his phone at a gas station.

“Does it bother you?” she asked.

“Should it?” he said. “Is the price coming down?”

She looked at her listing sheet. The price had not moved.

“Nope,” she said. “But the beach is still here.”

He said that was good enough, and asked whether the unit came with a grill.

10 Humorous Observations on the Cebu Retirement Panic

  1. Cebu Condo Dreams A Gloomy Open House
    Cebu Condo Dreams A Gloomy Open House

    A retired band director showed up with a binder and a trombone case. That’s not a suspect. That’s a man who’s been in a marching band since 1979 and is trying to go back to normal.

  2. Retired HVAC guys have it rough. They arrive with a cooler, a cap and a deep opinion about your ductwork. If that’s a criminal profile, half of Ohio’s in trouble.
  3. A condo can survive an earthquake, a typhoon and a bad HOA vote. It can’t survive a news cycle. Concrete is strong. Headlines are stronger.
  4. “Golden Years Beach Resort” has renamed itself “We Have No Reason To Believe Anyone Here Did Anything Estates.” Honestly, best HOA name I’ve ever heard.
  5. You work forty years, you save, you move to paradise, and the thing that sinks you isn’t the mortgage. It’s your demographic. Nobody mentions that at the Dave Ramsey seminar.
  6. One guy makes the news and now every man in a country of a hundred and ten million is supposed to prove he’s not him. That’s not logic. That’s Facebook.
  7. The locals are the calmest people in the story. Their biggest concern is a retired American asking if the corn is organic. It’s corn. It’s always been corn.
  8. My favorite buyer is the trucker from Amarillo. He saw the news at a gas station, asked if the unit had a grill and made an offer. That’s the free market, folks.
  9. A stigma adjustment of 40 percent in emotional terms. Great. Does my bank take emotional terms? Can I pay the property tax in emotional terms?
  10. The beach has been there for millions of years. It’s never been accused of anything. It’s the most trustworthy thing in the whole deal, and it still can’t get pre-approved.

This article is satire. The Philippine Justice Department has confirmed an investigation into allegations concerning Thomas Markle Sr.; no charges have been filed and the allegations are unproven. The realtor, retirees, residents, appraiser and all quotations in this piece are fictional, and there is no verified collapse of the Philippine property market. Nothing here is meant to accuse American or other foreign retirees as a group. Child protection and fair investigation are serious matters.

By Alan Nafzger

Alan Nafzger was born in Lubbock, Texas, the son Swiss immigrants. He grew up on a dairy in Windthorst, north central Texas. He earned degrees from Midwestern State University (B.A. 1985) and Texas State University (M.A. 1987). University College Dublin (Ph.D. 1991). Dr. Nafzger has entertained and educated young people in Texas colleges for 37 years. Nafzger is best known for his dark novels and experimental screenwriting. His best know scripts to date are Lenin's Body, produced in Russia by A-Media and Sea and Sky produced in The Philippines in the Tagalog language. In 1986, Nafzger wrote the iconic feminist western novel, Gina of Quitaque. Contact: [email protected]